The central point of Michael Tracey’s recent Spectator article is that Biden’s commanding lead in the polls is an accurate indication of widespread support among Democratic primary voters. The Democrats remain the party of Obama who is by far the most influential, revered and politically powerful figure within it.
Obama’s de facto endorsement of Biden, his help in lining up institutional support in key states such as South Carolina not to mention access to Obama’s donor base and favorable media coverage will be highly significant if not decisive much as early endorsements obtained by Clinton were. And here the comparison is slightly misleading in that, as Tracey points out, Clinton was a weaker candidate, paling in comparison to the then incumbent Democrat, widely disliked by Obama partisans who harbored bitter memories of Clinton’s racially tinged attacks and her support of the Iraq invasion.
Continue reading Obamamania and its Legacy: Why Biden Leads
It has, to my knowledge, not yet been observed elsewhere that much of what can be said about the candidacy of Elizabeth Warren could also have been said about the 2016 Green Party candidacy of Jill Stein.
Both are Harvard faculty members associated with platforms most on the left would endorse. Both are (obviously) women and, according to many of their supporters ignored by the mainstream, corporate media on this basis.* Finally, both have significant weaknesses as candidates with national polls routinely showing single digit support.
Continue reading Elizabeth Warren for President? Why Not Jill Stein?
A well known form of insanity involves attempting to correct basic factual errors on the internet.
I generally don’t, but sometimes it’s hard to resist the temptation.
That was the case last week when a meme circulated suggesting, as one tweet put it, that because Elizabeth Warren “clearly thinks about the issues beyond pandering & has actual policy plans and ideas . . . she would be the front runner and would be receiving most of the press.”
At least that would be so-and here we are to imagine a muted low brass chord as the narrator ominously intones . . . “if she were a man.”
This was Pavlovian red meat dangled in front of identity politics addled liberals sure to induce a wave of frenzied clicks.
Continue reading Solidarity Forever and Pavlov’s Dogs: Why Is Elizabeth Warren Being Ignored?
1) Elizabeth Warren is familiar and attractive to people like you and me. I’ve never met her, but I like her in roughly the same way that many voters “liked” George W. Bush: I would enjoy “having a beer with her”. Most of those of my acquaintances feel the same way.
2) 1) is not a recommendation. Quite the opposite in fact and that’s because a likely majority of the population distrusts and dislikes people like you and me. It has good reason to do so, as I discussed here.
3) 2) in part explains why Warren routinely polls substantially worse than other Democrats in head to head match ups with Trump. It also explains her dismal campaign rollout, achieving only $299,000 in donations from a trickle of supporters, in comparison to the $6 million and 600,000 strong army of volunteers raised by Bernie Sanders.
Continue reading Elizabeth Warren for President: A 10 Point (non) Endorsement